# Metrics & KPIs

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# Metrics & KPIs

**Freeze–Vote–Rebuild** is verification-first: progress depends on measurable indicators. This chapter provides a menu of suggested metrics and KPIs to support gates, dashboards, and accountability.

## Principles for KPI Design

- **Multi-indicator Sets:** Harder to "game" than single metrics.
- **Trend Analysis:** Track windows (7/14/30 days) rather than single-day spikes.
- **Leading vs. Lagging:** Separate early warnings (movement alerts) from outcomes (incident counts).
- **Tiered Transparency:** Publish aggregates for the public; restrict tactical details to monitors and governance bodies.

## Freeze Phase KPIs (Security & Stabilization)

| Category | KPI Name | Description |
| **Security** | **S3/S4 Incident Rate** | Count of high-severity ceasefire violations per week. |
| **Security** | **Protected Infra Strikes** | Verified strikes on energy, water, or medical sites. |
| **Security** | **Recurrence Index** | Repeat violations in the same sector over time. |
| **Access** | **Monitor Obstruction Count** | Count and duration of denied or delayed site visits. |
| **Access** | **Corridor Uptime** | % of scheduled hours humanitarian corridors remain open. |
| **Outcomes** | **Utility Uptime** | % of households with consistent power/water in key zones. |

## Vote Phase KPIs (Inclusion & Integrity)

| Category | KPI Name | Description |
| **Inclusion** | **Registration Rate** | % completion by category (Resident, IDP, Refugee). |
| **Inclusion** | **Appeals Success Rate** | % of registration disputes resolved in favor of the applicant. |
| **Integrity** | **Coercion Complaint Rate** | Validated threats or intimidation reports per 10k voters. |
| **Integrity** | **Observer Coverage** | % of polling centers with a registered observer present. |
| **Integrity** | **Reconciliation Error** | Discrepancy between ballots issued vs. ballots counted. |
| **Audit** | **Audit Discrepancy Rate** | Findings from risk-limiting audits vs. tolerance levels. |

## Rebuild Phase KPIs (Throughput & Transparency)

| Category | KPI Name | Description |
| **Delivery** | **Project Pipeline Velocity** | Meantime from award to mobilization/start of work. |
| **Delivery** | **On-Time Milestone Rate** | % of project milestones hit within the scheduled window. |
| **Cost** | **Cost Variance** | % difference between actual spending and benchmarks. |
| **Integrity** | **Milestone-Verified %** | % of payments released only after physical verification. |
| **Integrity** | **Audit Finding Rate** | Frequency of major vs. minor audit discrepancies. |
| **Equity** | **Geographic Spread** | Distribution of projects relative to pre-agreed equity criteria. |

## Cross-Cutting KPIs

### Governance Performance
- **Time to Adjudicate:** Median days to resolve a contested incident or dispute.
- **Publication Timeliness:** % of reports released to the public on the agreed schedule.
- **Deadlock Rate:** Count of decisions delayed beyond the maximum governance window.

### Data Governance
- **Unauthorized Access Events:** Count of security logs showing non-role-based access.
- **Redaction Ratio:** Frequency of "restricted" vs. "public" data releases.

## Minimum Viable KPI Set (Recommended)

If you must start small, prioritize these "Core Four" per phase:

1. **Freeze:** S3/S4 incident rate + Monitor obstruction count.
2. **Vote:** Registration rates (by category) + Coercion complaint rate.
3. **Rebuild:** % Milestone-verified payments + Audit finding rate.

## Link to Gates
These KPIs feed directly into the numeric thresholds defined in:
**Verification-First Gates (/initiatives/ukraine-peace-plan/fvr/governance/verification-gates)**

## Drafting Note
When implementing, define for each KPI: the exact data source, the collection method (manual vs. sensor), the update cadence, and the assigned "Risk Owner."